Now-a-day, Delhi elections 2015 are on everyone’s mind. In Delhi, the last full year has been without any formal government. ABP-Neilson has conducted some periodic surveys to assess the mood of Delhi people.
ABP-Neilson’s Delhi Elections 2015 Opinion Poll
According to the latest polls, BJP seems to lead the board with 34 seats. This will leave BJP just two seats short from being crowned in this time elections. Even from the recent falls in diplomatic pits, AAP seems to stand tall in such circumstances with 28 seats. This increase in the popularity in recent months is a positive sign for AAP.
Congress, in these polls, seems to be struggling even to put up their name in the race of the crown. Their team is somehow managing to get 8 seats in this poll. Since no seats are going to independent candidates, so there is no question of taking outer support.
The polls conducted in November and December were bit different as they favored BJP or Modi Mantra in whole. In those polls, BJP got 46 and 45 seats respectively. They are now turned down to 38, which shows sharp decline in the popularity. It doesn’t look like very good news for this party.
Other Channels Delhi Elections 2015 Opinion Poll
Last time AAP got the opportunity to form the government. They had to get congress support for this. That decision raised too many questions and skepticism. This led to a government of just 49 days. In the present scenario, the history is repeating itself. But again, no party is going to get any other party’s support for running government.
Vote share percentage is favoring BJP by 35% while AAP is giving a tough competition in this field with 31%. Congress is getting 24% of the vote share percentage while rest of the candidates are getting rest 10% of the vote share. These statistics suggest that AAP is equally popular in public as BJP is. Congress is lacking behind in this domain also.
In a recent rally in January, PM NarenderModi said that they know hoe to run a government. On the other hand, AAP lacks the experience in this field. 56% of the surveyed population agreed with him while rest gave a negative answer as per ABP Nelson survey.
Arvind Kejriwal is still moving on the top in the race for chief minister crown. Though BJP has brought KiranBedi for this title, it may influence Kejriwal’s chances.As per these polls, Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP is getting support from higher economy class and the Muslims as well. Women are also directing their support to AAP.
Also, when people were asked about the chief concerns and issues in the Delhi elections, inflation seems to be at the top as per 31% of the respondents. Sewage/sanitation took the second place with 15% votes while unavailability of the drinking water is taking the third place in the hierarchy of concerns with 12% votes.
As per these results, AAP is getting hope and BJP is getting worried. Whatever the results may be, all the Delhi public is expecting a more stable government with clear win.
It will be interesting to see what Impact does Kiran Bedi makes in favor of BJP. Kiran and Arinvd were the two backbone of Anna movement that moved entire India. Please read this article for a detailed analysis of Arvind Kejriwal VS Kiran Bedi
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